Modeling Business Performance and Macroeconomic Factors to Explain Stock Market Returns in LQ45 Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX)

Tjandrasa, Benny Budiawan (2019) Modeling Business Performance and Macroeconomic Factors to Explain Stock Market Returns in LQ45 Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX). International Journal of Business Studies, 2 (1). pp. 38-65. ISSN 2621-6426

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Abstract

The purpose of this study is to confirm the effect of business performance and macroeconomics on stock returns in the industrial sector in the Indonesia Stock Exchange LQ45 index. This study examines eight variables from business performance and macroeconomics, namely: current ratio, debt-equity ratio, total asset turnover, return on equity, inflation rate, interest rate, exchange rate, and political stability to be tested for the effect on the stock return of the industrial sector. Using Generalized Least Square techniques, it is concluded that the Industrial sector in the Indonesia Stock Exchange is strongly influenced by macroeconomic factors rather than business performance factors. This is common in capital markets which are mostly dominated by foreigners because foreign investors are very sensitive to changes in a country's macroeconomic conditions especially if it is related to political conditions. The managerial implications of this research are: decision makers and investors must pay more attention to the factors of political stability in investing, while the government is obliged to maintain political stability to increase the trust of both local investors and foreign investors. From the iteration results, there are two multivariate regression models which are statistically considered the most suitable. The originality of this study is to prove statistically that political stability is very influential on LQ45 stock returns in the industrial sector on the Indonesia Stock Exchange.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: Business performance; macroeconomic variables; political stability; stock return; LQ45.
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HD Industries. Land use. Labor > HD28 Management. Industrial Management
Depositing User: Perpustakaan Maranatha
Date Deposited: 27 Jun 2019 10:32
Last Modified: 27 Jun 2019 10:32
URI: http://repository.maranatha.edu/id/eprint/26833

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